Premier League predictions: Luis Diaz to score in Liverpool rout with Chelsea to beat Manchester United

Liverpool vs Sheffield United, Thursday 7.30pm

I’m a little confused at why Mohamed Salah is 2/5 with Sky Bet to score anytime and Luis Diaz is 11/8.

I’d have them around the same price on current form but obviously the bookmaker algorithms have spat out the rather chunky price on Diaz.

In a turgid betting heat where a one-sided game looks on the cards, the Diaz anytime price looks one to focus on.

The Colombian has netted seven times in his last 12 starts. In that timeframe he’s had, wait for it, 50 shots to an average of 4.1 per 90 minutes with 19 of those hitting the target.

The market is expecting Liverpool to score at least three goals here so it doesn’t really add up that Diaz is given a 42 per cent implied probability of scoring at least one of them – my figures have it closer to 55 per cent. It looks a cracking price.

The Colombian has netted seven times in his last 12 starts. In that timeframe he’s had, wait for it, 50 shots to an average of 4.1 per 90 minutes with 19 of those hitting the target.

The market is expecting Liverpool to score at least three goals here so it doesn’t really add up that Diaz is given a 42 per cent implied probability of scoring at least one of them – my figures have it closer to 55 per cent. It looks a cracking price.

SCORE PREDICTION: 5-0

Chelsea vs Manchester United, Thursday 8.15pm

Source: Sky Bet

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